Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. But Pennsylvania is now red. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Not one! [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Continue with Recommended Cookies. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Which ones are more politically competitive? To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). That solved the problem. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Same for GA senate races Charlie. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Blue States No. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. In September, just eight states had. Manage Settings In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. You have to beware with these reports, though. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. 4, another 2020 red state. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. There was an error processing your request. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. Iapologize.). MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Success! The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. But. Gov. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Next is Alabama at No. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Map of election results. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. The Hill . The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. So how does all that look visually? Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. If . I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Use arrow keys to move around the map. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. All Rights Reserved. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. It feels like the new Florida. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Vice versa for Montana. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. It is not a blue state or a red state. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. What determines a state's "color"? Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! The key swing region is the. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. Like around the country, we're seeing. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". All three of those states were very close in both elections. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. Sorry Marc. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. These are general election results for the years listed. I don't know where to begin! elections. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted.
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